We use cookies to deliver essential features and to measure their performance. By using this site you accept our Privacy Policies.
Help keep this site free and ads-free: donate now!
public LocationGreenwich, United Kingdom
TimezoneEurope/London
Sunrise: 4:42 
Transit: 13:00 
Sunset: 21:17
sunny   (Daytime)   What's Visible Now?

Best Places to See the 2024 American Eclipse Based on Historical Weather Data

Successful observations of Total Solar Eclipses often requires planning months or years ahead and traveling long distances to reach locations that will offer the longest totality duration and the highest chances of clear skies on the day of the eclipse.

The Total Solar Eclipse of April 8, 2024 is no exception to this. The eclipse will be visible inside strip of land approximately 190 kilometers wide, starting from the western coast of Mexico and ending in Maine, Nova Scotia and Newfoundland Island.

Path of the April 8, 2024 Solar Eclipse. Eclipse KML path shown in this image is provided by Xavier M. Jubier
Path of the April 8, 2024 Solar Eclipse. Eclipse KML path shown in this image is provided by Xavier M. Jubier

A large amount of historical weather data is available and can be used to get insights about the typical weather conditions on the day and time of the eclipse (April 8, in this case) at different locations inside the totality strip. These insights can help identify the areas that have, on average, the lowest cloud coverage and so could offer the best chances of a successful observation.

The table below shows the results of such an analysis, using weather data provided by MERRA-2 and summarized by Weather Spark. For a list of locations inside the totality strip, the table below provides the following data:

  • Totality duration
  • Probability of having "Mostly Clear" weather conditions, or better (ideal conditions for the observation)
  • Probability of having "Partly Cloudy" weather conditions, or better (potentially good conditions, but not free of risks of not seeing some phases of the eclipse)
  • Probability of having "Mostly Cloudy" weather conditions or worse (significant risk of missing some part of the eclipse)

where the definitions are as follows:

  • Clear: less than 1/8 of the sky is covered by with opaque (not transparent) clouds
  • Mostly Clear: 1/8th to 2/8ths of the sky is covered by with opaque (not transparent) clouds
  • Partly Cloudy: between 3/8 and 5/8 of the sky is covered by clouds
  • Mostly Cloudy: 6/8 or more of the sky is covered by clouds
CountryStatePlaceTotality
Duration
Mostly Clear
or Better
Partly Cloudy
or Better
Mostly Cloudy
or Worse
Link to
Weather
MexicoSinaloaMazatlán4m 22s49%56%44%Weather
MexicoSinaloaLos Pozos4m 26s49%56%44%Weather
MexicoDurangoCanatlán4m 29s48%57%43%Weather
MexicoDurangoVictoria de Durango3m 48s48%57%43%Weather
MexicoDurangoNazas4m 29s52%61%39%Weather
MexicoCoahuilaTorreón4m 14s56%63%37%Weather
MexicoGuadalajaraMelchor Múzquiz4m 29s58%66%34%Weather
MexicoCoahuilaSabinas4m 13s58%65%35%Weather
MexicoGuadalajaraAllende4m 24s58%66%34%Weather
MexicoGuadalajaraPiedras Negras4m 26s59%67%33%Weather
USTexasEagle Pass4m 26s59%67%33%Weather
USTexasUvalde4m 16s59%67%33%Weather
USTexasKerrville4m 26s58%66%34%Weather
USTexasFredericksburg4m 26s58%66%34%Weather
USTexasLampasas4m 26s57%66%34%Weather
USTexasGatesville4m 24s56%66%34%Weather
USTexasKilleen4m 17s57%66%34%Weather
USTexasFort Worth2m 46s55%65%35%Weather
USTexasWaco4m 13s55%65%35%Weather
USTexasHillsboro4m 24s55%65%35%Weather
USTexasDallas3m 53s55%64%36%Weather
USTexasEnnis4m 24s54%64%36%Weather
USTexasAthens3m 23s53%63%37%Weather
USTexasSulphur Springs4m 23s53%63%37%Weather
USTexasParis4m 04s53%63%37%Weather
USTexasClarksville4m 23s52%63%37%Weather
USTexasTexarkana2m 27s52%62%38%Weather
USArkansasHot Springs3m 37s51%60%40%Weather
USArkansasLittle Rock2m 30s51%60%40%Weather
USMissouriCape Girardeau4m 07s48%57%43%Weather
USIndianaBloomington4m 04s43%53%47%Weather
USIndianaIndianapolis3m 51s41%51%49%Weather
USIndianaMuncie3m 48s40%50%50%Weather
USOhioLima3m 53s40%50%50%Weather
USOhioFindlay3m 45s39%50%50%Weather
USOhioSandusky3m 48s36%48%52%Weather
USOhioCleveland3m 52s35%48%52%Weather
USOhioAshtabula3m 48s34%46%54%Weather
USNew YorkNiagara Falls3m 33s31%44%56%Weather
USNew YorkBuffalo3m 48s31%45%55%Weather
USNew YorkRochester3m 39s33%46%54%Weather
CanadaOntarioBelleville2m 04s33%45%55%Weather
USNew YorkWatertown3m 42s30%43%57%Weather
USNew YorkPotsdam3m 14s28%41%59%Weather
USNew YorkMassena2m 30s28%41%59%Weather
CanadaOntarioCornwall2m 18s28%41%59%Weather
CanadaQuebecMontréal1m 22s30%43%57%Weather
CanadaQuebecSherbrooke3m 27s25%39%61%Weather
USVermontBurlington3m 16s30%44%56%Weather
CanadaNew BrunswickMiramichi3m 09s27%40%60%Weather
CanadaNewfoundlandStephenville2m 07s27%40%60%Weather

The following chart shows the probability of clear skies for the locations listed in the table above, following the totality strip from west to east:

Chart showing the probability of clear skies and average cloud coverage on the day of the eclipse (April 8, 2024) along the totality strip, from west to east, based on historical weather and cloud coverage data.
Chart showing the probability of clear skies and average cloud coverage on the day of the eclipse (April 8, 2024) along the totality strip, from west to east, based on historical weather and cloud coverage data.

Conclusions

Based on historical weather and cloud coverage data, the best locations to go and see the April 8, 2024 Solar Eclipses are inside the totality strip close to the Mexico/Texas border, both on the Mexican and US side. These locations in particular seem to be the most promising in absolute:

From these locations it will be possible to observe the eclipse with the longest totality duration (more than 4 minutes and 20 seconds) and with the highest probability of mostly clear skies (58/59% chances of mostly clear skies on the day of the eclipse). Many other locations in Mexico and Texas will in any case provide good chances of observing the eclipse, with a probability greater than 50% of having mostly clear skies.

Articles »  2023 »  February » Feb 17, 2023